ROLL TIDE

Tomorrow our fellow citizens in the state of Alabama will elect a new senator. There is no need to discuss the two candidates because anyone who doesn't know everything they need to know about each spend a lot of time hiding in basements, which more and more seems like a pretty good pastime. Old witch hunt, fake news, is endorsing Roy Moore. Well of course he is. They have a lot in common. Each has been accused by multiple women with credible stories of sexual assaults. Trump on TV has basically admitted it. Each appears to be anti-Muslim. Each professors conservative, Religious values. Having watched Trump, and seeing his changes of position over the years, I have no doubt that with him it is opportunistic bullshit. Similarly, my experience and my intuition tell me that Roy Moore is also a fraud in this respect. It was interesting to note that he and his wife have some foundation promoting what they call "moral law" and interestingly enough make money on this gig. Are you watching Elmer Gantry question ?



So who will win and does it make any difference? As to whether it makes a difference, the answer is yes and no. No because if Jones wins the Republicans will still have the majority in the Senate and a republican will be elected to replace Jones the next time he runs. Yes, because after Trump's robust endorsement should Moore lose that might indicate a crack in Trump's base. Maybe more Republicans would feel safe in outright criticism of Trump. On the other hand, should Moore win, the meager criticism of Trump by his Republican colleagues will doubtless dry up.

So who will win? If this election had taken place in 2015 or before, my money would be on Jones. However, after the 2016 elections, my guess is Moore.

You probably have noticed that the Trump White House lead by old fake news is trying to create a narrative that will allow Trump to fire Bob Mueller and end the investigation. His propaganda machine at FOXNews has their guns blazing on this one. Will it happen? If Roy Moore wins I would say it is almost certain and that the Republicans will meekly accept it. Even if Jones wins, I wouldn't bet against Mueller being fired. And on that cheery note endeth  my sermon.